ITPM Flash is a video series from the Institute of Trading and Portfolio Management (ITPM), founded by Anton Kreil, that provides market insights from the Institute’s senior trading mentors.


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ITPM Flash Ep39 – Summary

In this episode senior trading mentor Anthony Iser talks about the auto industry and electricle vehicles, the biggest trend in this industry. Anthony thinks that there are trading opportunities.

Currently there is a strong growth in hybrid and plug-in hybrid technology which hurts EV. Why? Firstly because of the slow rollout of electriv vehicle infrastructure is slow and secondly the resell value of EVs is falling. This is reflected in the share price of automobile producers.

From ITPM Flash youtube video

If you take a look at the table you see “oldschool” car producers are up quite nicely, EV producers are down. Anthony think this trend will continue.

Short Idea – Tesla

Anthony Iser is suggesting Tesla as a short, because volumes are dropping and prices are coming down. The screenshot shows average price of used Tesla cars coming down quite strongly! Tesla is reporting on the 23rd of April. Elon Musk is focused heavily on Twitter, not so much on Tesla at the moment. Things like the recent robotaxi announcement could be a “smokebomb”, trying to lift share price temporarily. Fully automated driving is not anywhere as near as he suggests.

Long Idea – Toyota / Mazda

Anthony wants to pair his short trade with a long trade in a “oldschool” car maker. There are no options on the Mazda ADR so he does this trade in stock.

Why does he chose Mazda? They are very cheap and seeing upgrades coming through. It got a lot of net cash on the balance sheet and it’s producing plug-in hybrids.

ITPM Flash Ep39 – Conclusion

Anthony thinks, for various reasons, that EVs will underperform other “traditional” auto producers. He plays this through shorting Tesla and going long Mazda. Tesla has a lot of problems, Elon Musk is quite a character, focused on various things at the moment but not Tesla. Mazda sees upgrades coming through and positive price momentum.

About me

The Institute of Trading and Portfolio Management (ITPM), founded by ex-Goldman Sachs trader Anton Kreil, helped me on my journey to become a profitable retail trader

Review of ITPM Courses

The courses of the Institute of Trading and Portfolio Management helped me massively to become a profitable retail trader. I genuinely believe that ITPM provides the best trading education on the market – but not everything is perfect. Find out more in my reviews

Results of my Mentoring with Anton Kreil

In September 2022 Anton Kreil asked me and another one of his former mentees, if we want to do a webinar with him. After the Thailand class in April 2022 and the following mentoring with Anton from Mai to July 2022 I thought it was great opportunity to show what I have learned and how I have progressed

ITPM Thailand Mentoring

After completing my first ITPM Course, the PTM 1.0 (the predecessor of the PTM 2.0), I knew I want to do a mentoring. After a thorough analysis I decided to attended the April 2022 Thailand mentoring class

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